Avoiding ETF performance pitfalls

justETF.com

Measuring performance should be simple but the same investment can look quite different if you check it on different websites. To make sure you’re not caught out, we explain the main performance pitfalls so that you know you’re always comparing apples to apples.

Avoiding ETF performance pitfalls The major factors that can alter an ETF’s return or performance calculation include:
 
  • How distributions are treated
  • What time of day the price was taken
  • Subtle variations in time periods e.g. the definition of a year
  • Which currency is being used
  • Currency conversion methodology
Small differences in these factors can cause large discrepancies in the performance of an ETF. It can be like comparing the speed of Formula One cars without knowing which are being clocked in miles per hour and which are using kilometres per hour.

So let’s take each factor in turn and show you what to look out for.  

 

Performance treatment of distributions: addition vs. reinvestment

It can be difficult to compare the returns of a distributing ETF versus an accumulating (or capitalising) one. A distributing ETF pays out all dividends or interest while an accumulating ETF reinvests that income back into the fund - so the investor automatically benefits from compounding returns (you earn interest on your interest).

Without an adjustment, an accumulating ETF will appear to grow faster than a distributing ETF that doesn’t reinvest income.

The most common method of ensuring a fair comparison is to assume all distributions are reinvested back into the ETF.

This way you can compare the growth of both types of ETF on a total return basis: including any capital appreciation plus the compounding effect of income being invested in new shares of the fund.

justETF uses the reinvestment method and assumes that all distributions are rolled back up into the ETF on the ex-dividend date.
 
What is the ex-dividend date?
The price of an ETF is reduced by the amount of its forthcoming distribution on the ex-dividend date. This is to ensure a fair price for investors who won’t qualify to receive the dividend if they buy into the ETF on or after the ex-dividend date. A seller doesn’t receive the dividend either if they sell before the ex-dividend date. The distribution is actually paid on the payment date. This date will usually occur several days, or occasionally a few weeks, after the ex-dividend date.
An alternative method is to add the value of the distributions to an ETF’s price instead of reinvesting them. Distributions treated this way don’t count as producing further income and so the powerful compound effect is sheared off from the ETF’s track record.

This can lead to a wide performance gap over time between the two methods, especially in growing markets.
 

Return differences in distributing ETFs caused by the calculation method

Return differences in distributing ETFs caused by the calculation method
Source: justETF Database; values as of 28/08/2017, starting with the inception of the respective ETF
Some websites don’t take distributions into account at all. They only track the capital appreciation of an ETF (known as the price return) and completely fail to show the impact that income has on performance.

 

Price time and source may differ

The price of an ETF fluctuates constantly as it trades but its performance is measured by a single price taken at a particular time during the day.

Naturally performance changes depending on when that snapshot is taken.

The official worth of an ETF is published once a day by the ETF provider and is known as the NAV (Net Asset Value). However, the closing price on a stock exchange may be quite different.

Therefore it’s vital to know whether you are looking at the published NAV or the stock exchange price and at what time the price was taken.

The London Stock Exchange closes at 4:30pm (GMT) while the New York Stock Exchange closes at 9pm (GMT). Four and a half hours is plenty of time for an ETF’s price to change. Even if the ETF is not traded anymore on the LSE, underlying stocks may still be traded at a different exchange around the globe and impact the price of an ETF.
 
Hint:
justETF uses NAV to calculate performance. But the NAV price can lag current asset values by up to three days, so we also supplement with stock exchange prices to bridge the gap. To do pure NAV comparisons, use end-of-month values in comparisons.
 

Currency and exchange rates matter

Performance can be presented in an ETF’s trading currency, fund currency or in the home currency of the investor. Of course, UK investors care about the return in pounds but websites that focus on NAV will often report in the fund currency.

justETF always displays performance in the investor’s home currency and it’s also possible to switch between GBP, USD, CHF, or EUR to see how currency rates affect performance.

Even when performance is converted into your home currency, metrics can deviate depending on which currency exchange rate is used.

For example,  justETF and many other websites use the official ECB exchange rate set at 1.15pm (GMT) /  2.15pm (CET). However, the Reuters’ 4pm CET rate is also widely used.

And because different exchange rates set at different times result in different prices, you end up with an apples to oranges comparison.

 

Time period lengths and definitions are inconsistent

You might think we can all agree on what a year is but creative differences exist even here.

Many websites offer to display the last calendar year or rolling periods of three and five years but performance comparisons only work if the start and end dates are consistent.

The starting date of a year is particularly troublesome as some define it as the last banking day of the previous year while others plump for the first banking day of the year. In the latter case, the value of the first day is over-emphasised as the NAV is usually calculated at the end of the day.

To remove any doubt, look for a website that clearly displays the dates covered by the performance period you’re interested in.
 
Hint:
You will always find the precise start and end date displayed above all justETF charts - on the right-hand side. You can also check the NAV on any given date by hovering your mouse above the ETF’s performance line.
 

Price return charts versus total return charts

Finally, watch out for whether you’re being shown a price return or a total return chart. A price return chart reveals historical buying prices but discards the distributions side of performance.

A total return chart assumes all distributions are reinvested and gives the complete performance picture.

 

Checklist: What to look out for when comparing ETF performance

Here’s a quick summary of the important factors when researching ETF’s on different sites:
 
  • Do prices use the official NAV, or stock exchange quotes?
  • Which stock exchange provided the prices?
  • What time were the prices taken?
  • Are distributions included?
  • If yes, are the distributions added onto the NAV (or stock exchange price), or are they reinvested?
  • Which currency is being used?
  • Which exchange rate is used for the currency conversion?
  • Does the website show price return or total return charts?