MSCI index classification and how they divide up the world

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Many ETFs track MSCI indices. But who is MSCI and how does its view of the world impact your portfolio?

MSCI index classification and how they divide up the world MSCI is one of the world’s leading independent providers of indices. The vast majority of ETFs available to UK investors track either an MSCI benchmark or one provided by their big rivals FTSE, STOXX or S&P.

When you buy an ETF, it’s important to understand how its index works as that is the main driver of performance. What’s less well known is that each index company divides up the world’s markets in different ways. So how do MSCI’s indices work?

 

How do MSCI’s indices work?

MSCI takes a Russian doll approach to the world’s stock markets. The mother of all equity indices is the MSCI ACWI (All-Country World index) which encompasses most of the globe. Nesting within that index are various sub-indices that divide up the world into smaller pieces.

You could buy one ETF that tracks the MSCI ACWI and you’d instantly own a highly diversified portfolio. Or, you can use the smaller indices as building blocks to create your custom view of the world.

The MSCI ACWI index covers 85% of the global market capitalisation. It tracks about 3,000 large and mid cap enterprises in 23 Developed Markets and 27 Emerging Markets. However, the share of Emerging Markets in the ACWI is only around 13%, although these countries account for around 40% of the world's gross domestic product (GDP).

 

Allocation of the world regions and countries in the MSCI indices

Allocation of the world regions and countries in the MSCI indices
  Developed Markets      Emerging Markets      Frontier Markets   
Source: MSCI; as of 31/03/2021

Many investors use GDP as a measure of the economic importance of the world’s markets which is why you may well prefer to build a portfolio based on some of MSCI’s regional or country indices.

MSCI’s World index covers the developed world’s stocks while excluding Emerging Markets. The developed world means the US and Canada, Western Europe including the UK but not Greece, the ANZACs, Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore in the Pacific plus Israel from the Middle East.

 

The market cap bias

It’s worth mentioning that the most well-known MSCI indices are based on a stock’s free float-adjusted market capitalisation. What does that mean? Free float refers to the amount of company stock that is readily available in the public markets. In other words, it excludes shares that are privately held by the likes of company executives, backers or government interests.

Additionally, a market cap index weights individual companies according to their market price multiplied by the number of (free float) shares. So if a large company is worth 10% of the entire index by market cap, it will account for a 10% portion of the index. If the company’s value doubles then the company will now constitute 20% of the index (assuming all other stocks in the index were static). Some indices limit the maximum weight that individual companies may account for in the index to avoid excessive concentration.

 

The US account for the majority of the MSCI world indices

You can see the concentration-effect in action at a country level by looking at the weight of the US in world indices. The US market is worth over 55% of the MSCI ACWI and over 65% of the MSCI World index. This degree of domination is another reason why many investors like to fine-tune their portfolios with regional and country-specific ETFs.

One of the most important diversifying regional benchmarks is the MSCI Emerging Markets index. It contains many Asian states like China, South Korea, India and Taiwan. Markets from South America like Brazil, from Eastern Europe like Russia or from the Middle East like Saudi Arabia are parts of the MSCI Emerging Markets as well.

 

Developed and Emerging Markets by MSCI classification

Developed and Emerging Markets by MSCI classification
Source: MSCI; as of 31/03/2021
 
 

Classification matters

But beware: There can be differences between the various index providers concerning the classification of individual countries. For example, with about 13% South Korea is one of the most heavily weighted countries in the MSCI Emerging Markets. On the other hand, the index provider FTSE assigns it to the developed countries. Similarly, Poland is classified as an Emerging Market country by MSCI but as a developed country by FTSE.

Also, individual countries may be upgraded or downgraded. For example, Kuwait was upgraded from a so-called "Frontier Market" to an Emerging Market by MSCI in December 2020. 

The Frontier Markets are the lowest category of the MSCI regional index classes. MSCI includes 38 countries among the Frontier Markets, 26 of which are represented in the MSCI Frontier Markets index, e. g. Serbia, Nigeria, Vietnam or Bahrain.
 
 

Frontier Markets according to MSCI classification 

Frontier Markets according to MSCI classification
Source: MSCI; as of 31/03/2021
 
 

Slice the MSCI World by market cap

The indices discussed above cover large and mid cap companies in their constituent markets. Large cap firms in the MSCI universe account for 65 - 75% of the total capitalisation of any given market. Mid cap firms form the next layer of the index. Large and medium-sized companies together comprise 80 - 90% of MSCI indices.

To get the 10 - 20% small cap slice on top of mid and large caps, look out for MSCI’s investable market indices (IMI). In addition to the large and medium-sized companies, these also include the smaller ones. The IMI indices thus offer you a market coverage of about 99%.
 
 

MSCI index world by market cap

MSCI index world by market cap
Source: MSCI; as of 31/03/2021

A good example of an investable market index is the MSCI ACWI IMI. This index features almost 9,000 stocks spread across 50 countries and is one of the most diversified indices you can invest in via ETF. However, an ETF doesn’t have to hold the same stocks as its index, so check the provider’s website to ensure you understand any differences. 
 
 

Excursus: ETFs usually replicate very large indices via sampling

So for this huge number of stocks, it would be just too complicated and very expensive. Therefore, such large indices like the MSCI ACWI IMI are usually replicated by sampling. This means the provider selects the most important and most liquid stocks in the index, representing the index performance.

You can also invest in individual countries using ETFs on MSCI indices. Many investors do this when they want to overweight a particular country in their portfolio. For example, China constitutes about 5% of an MSCI ACWI ETF. But you could tilt your portfolio towards China by adding an ETF on the MSCI China.

However, if you decide to diversify, remember to check the factsheet for both the index and the ETF so you fully understand the role they will play in your portfolio.

ETFs on MSCI indices can be found via the corresponding filter in the ETF search. You can then narrow down the selection further using various filter criteria. Or directly select the desired index in the index select box.

Investment guides for the most popular MSCI indices are also available:
 
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